「もったいない」を、判断材料にしない
The Cost You Can't Get Back
Halfway through a $200 online course that has turned out to be dull and poorly organized, most people keep watching anyway. The reasoning sounds almost unassailable: I already paid for this; quitting now would waste the money. It is, in fact, exactly backwards.
The $200 is already gone. No decision made from this point forward can bring it back, whether the remaining ten hours are watched or skipped entirely. Economists call this a sunk cost — a cost that has already been paid and cannot be recovered by any future choice. The only sound question left to ask is a fresh one: given where I stand right now, is the remaining time worth spending, compared with everything else I could do with it instead?
Sunk-cost reasoning rarely announces itself so plainly. It tends to arrive dressed up as loyalty, discipline, or simple thrift — virtues that make the trap harder to notice, let alone resist. A company that has poured three years and considerable capital into a failing product often keeps funding it, not because the market has changed its mind, but because abandoning the project would mean admitting that the first three years bought nothing. The sunk cost has quietly become the decision-maker, in place of an honest look at what happens next.
The same logic governs decisions far removed from money. A team that has spent an entire season drilling one offensive strategy will often keep running it deep into a losing streak, arguing that changing now would make the season's practice time meaningless. The hours of practice, like the $200, are already spent either way; what matters is only which strategy gives the team the best chance of winning from this game forward.
None of this means finishing what you start is worthless — persistence has its own value, separate from the money already spent. The distinction worth holding onto is simply this: a past cost may explain how you feel about quitting, but it should never be allowed to answer whether quitting is, going forward, the wiser move.
339 words
Vocabulary Check
"The reasoning sounds almost unassailable" — here, "unassailable" is closest to —
- obviously false
- impossible to argue against
- confusing
- outdated
答えを見る
正解:B.impossible to argue against
As used in the passage, "thrift" is closest to —
- carelessness with money
- the careful, sparing use of money
- generosity
- a financial investment
答えを見る
正解:B.the careful, sparing use of money
"...poured three years and considerable capital into a failing product" — here, "capital" means —
- a city's main office
- invested money or resources
- employee effort
- legal permission
答えを見る
正解:B.invested money or resources
"...abandoning the project would mean admitting..." — here, "abandoning" is closest to —
- improving
- giving up on completely
- reviewing carefully
- expanding
答えを見る
正解:B.giving up on completely
"...has poured three years...into a failing product" describes a company that has —
- briefly considered the product
- invested heavily and continuously in the product
- sold the product to a competitor
- tested the product on a small scale
答えを見る
正解:B.invested heavily and continuously in the product
"...in place of an honest look at what happens next" means —
- in addition to
- instead of
- because of
- in spite of
答えを見る
正解:B.instead of
The writer calls the "I already paid for this" reasoning "exactly backwards" because —
- it leads to the opposite of the sound conclusion
- it is grammatically incorrect
- it applies only to old-fashioned businesses
- it was proven wrong by a recent study
答えを見る
正解:A.it leads to the opposite of the sound conclusion
Comprehension
According to the passage, why is "I already paid for this" flawed reasoning for continuing the course?
- Because the course might actually improve later.
- Because the $200 cannot be recovered either way, so it should not affect the decision going forward.
- Because $200 is not a large amount of money.
- Because online courses are generally unreliable.
答えを見る
正解:B.Because the $200 cannot be recovered either way, so it should not affect the decision going forward.
第2段落が明示する通り、$200はどちらの選択をしても戻ってこない。よって「すでに払った」という事実は、これからの判断材料にはならない、というのが本文の論理。
How does the passage define a "sunk cost"?
- A cost that will be paid in the future.
- A cost that has already been paid and cannot be recovered by any future choice.
- A cost that is always a mistake to pay.
- A cost shared between two or more people.
答えを見る
正解:B.A cost that has already been paid and cannot be recovered by any future choice.
第2段落の定義文をそのまま問う設問。"a cost that has already been paid and cannot be recovered by any future choice"がそのまま定義。
According to the passage, why does sunk-cost reasoning often go unnoticed?
- Because it is illegal to discuss openly.
- Because it disguises itself as virtues like loyalty or discipline.
- Because most people are unaware that money exists.
- Because companies never make this mistake.
答えを見る
正解:B.Because it disguises itself as virtues like loyalty or discipline.
第3段落:「loyalty, discipline, or simple thrift」という美徳のように見える形で現れるため、罠だと気づきにくい、という説明。
According to the new sports-team example, what should determine whether the team changes its strategy?
- How much practice time has already been spent on the current strategy.
- Which strategy gives the team the best chance of winning going forward, since the practice time is spent either way.
- Whether the coach feels embarrassed about admitting a mistake.
- How many games are left in the season.
答えを見る
正解:B.Which strategy gives the team the best chance of winning going forward, since the practice time is spent either way.
追加した段落の要点。すでに費やした練習時間はどちらの選択をしても戻ってこない。判断基準はこれから先、どの戦略が一番勝てるかだけである、という論理。
What is the writer's overall position on finishing what you start?
- You should always finish what you start, no matter what.
- Finishing has its own value, but a past cost should not be the reason for continuing.
- Finishing what you start is always a waste of time.
- Only companies, not individuals, need to worry about this.
答えを見る
正解:B.Finishing has its own value, but a past cost should not be the reason for continuing.
最終段落:「finishing what you start is worthless」とは言っていない(persistence has its own value)。ただし、その理由が"すでに払ったから"であってはならない、という一線を引いている。
Summary Writing
Summarize the passage in 90–110 words.
モデル要約と解説を見る
People often keep spending time or money on something because they have already invested in it, reasoning the writer calls exactly backwards. Since a sunk cost cannot be recovered regardless of future choices, the only sound question is whether continuing is worthwhile from this point forward, compared with the alternatives. This reasoning is hard to notice because it often looks like loyalty or discipline; a company funding a failing product for years is one example. The writer concludes that a past cost may explain how someone feels about quitting, but should never determine whether quitting is actually the wiser decision.
100 words
なぜこの要約になるか
- 元の英文は5段落=「具体例①(オンライン講座)→定義(サンクコストとは何か)→なぜ気づきにくいか(会社の例)→具体例②(部活のチームの例)→結論(過去のコストと将来の判断は別)」という展開。100語という制限内では、3つの具体例を「時間やお金」という抽象語に圧縮している。
- "dressed up as loyalty, discipline, or simple thrift"という比喩表現は要約では省略。1級レベルの要約では、比喩的な言い回しより定義・結論のような骨格の文をそのまま残す判断が有効。
- 最終文の"a past cost may explain...but should never...answer whether..."という対比構造は、本文の一番言いたいことなのでほぼそのまま残している。
Your Turn
Some people say that once you have spent money or time on something, you should always finish it rather than "wasting" what you already put in. Do you agree or disagree with this opinion? Write your opinion in English, using 150–190 words.
最初の1文で賛成・反対を明示する。理由は2つ、譲歩(Admittedly, ...)を1文挟むと1級レベルの構成に近づく。
使える型
- I disagree with this opinion for two reasons.
- First, ... Second, ...
- Admittedly, ..., but ...
- For these reasons, I believe that ...
考えの道具箱
この英文が扱っているのは、既刊『新聞部、うわさの答え合わせ。』第12章の「もったいない沼」と同じ考え方です。もう使った時間やお金は、これからの判断とは別に考える——「もったいないから」を続ける理由にしない、というルールを、オンライン講座や会社の意思決定という大人の場面に置き換えたのがこの英文です。
英検1級レベルの意見論述では、身近な例(お小遣い)だけでなく、この英文のように会社・社会全体に応用できる例を1つ添えると、説得力が大きく上がります。
「もったいない沼」のページを見る →Read the Original
